The Future of Education

The paper and online presentation would be a presentation based on the very last study "What could (digital) education, for a learner, look like in 2040?", which explores potential futures of education in the European Union through a rigorous methodological approach, combining horizon scanning and backcasting. This was prepared by the 14 squad of the European network on Digital Education (EDEH). These methods enable the identification and analysis of emerging trends and weak signals, providing a prospective vision of upcoming transformations in the educational sector. Horizon scanning has allowed the identification of 16 key trends, such as the emergence of generative AI, the need for new skills in the labour market, and increased attention to responsible technology usage. These trends highlight the growing importance of technological innovation and adaptability in educational systems. Backcasting, on the other hand, has been used to develop four distinct future scenarios:

1. **Empowered Learning**: A future where education is personalised, continuous, and focused on self-determination, thanks to advanced technologies like AI and augmented reality.

2. **Constrained Education**: A strictly regulated educational environment with challenges in inclusion and technological equity.

3. **Decline of Education**: A scenario where over-reliance on AI and regulatory gaps lead to a loss of trust in the educational system.

4. **Transformative Vision**: Education centered on human experience, empathy, and sustainability, integrating cutting-edge technologies to enrich learning.

These scenarios highlight the challenges and opportunities that education might face by 2040. They underscore the importance of preparing educational systems for profound transformations, integrating innovative technologies while ensuring equity, inclusion, and sustainability.

In conclusion, the study demonstrates that horizon scanning and backcasting are valuable tools for anticipating and envisioning for the future of education. They help better understand emerging trends and develop adapted strategies to navigate an ever-evolving educational landscape. These methods provide a solid foundation for policymakers and educators, enabling them to make informed decisions and shape a resilient and inclusive educational future.